Omicron Surge: Ten Indian States Are Expected To Be The Worst-Affected By Rising Covid-19 Cases

Highlights

• Maharashtra may be the worst-affected state, with around 175,000 daily cases (assuming 100% susceptibility), which is predicted to peak near the end of January 2022.

• The second state that would be hardest hit is Karnataka, which could see over 120,000 daily cases at 100% susceptibility (peaking around February 1st).

• According to predictions, the state of Kerala at 100% susceptibility might easily surpass 100,000 cases during its peak in the final week of January, before levelling out again by the first week of March.

• According to projections, the state of Tamil Nadu might see cases nearly reach 100,000 in the first week of February (with 100 percent susceptibility), before flattening out by mid-March.

• Omicron instances are increasing in India, and according to a new forecast by experts at the Indian Institute of Science and the Indian Statistical Institute, the country might see a flood of Omicron cases — up to ten lakh at its height, which is projected in early February.

 

COVID-19 instances

Additionally, the Indian Statistical Institute Projects Ten Thousand Daily Cases of Covid by February 2022.

Additionally, the estimate sheds light on the potential flow of patients across the country if the infection rate continues at its current rate. The following are the top ten states that may see the highest number of Omicron cases in the coming weeks.

 

Maharashtra

Maharashtra may be the worst-affected state, with around 175,000 daily cases (assuming 100% susceptibility), which is predicted to peak near the end of January 2022.

At 30% susceptibility, this number remains above the 50,000 daily cases projected in mid-January. Before March 2022 begins, the curve is predicted to flatten back to zero.

 

Karnataka

The second state that would be hardest hit is Karnataka, which could see over 120,000 daily cases at 100% susceptibility (peaking around February 1st).

On a 30% susceptibility level, daily cases could exceed 40,000. Before March 2022, the curve is predicted to flatten.

Additionally, a physician lists five reasons why India should take the Omicron threat seriously.

 

Kerala

According to predictions, the state of Kerala at 100% susceptibility might easily surpass 100,000 cases during its peak in the final week of January, before levelling out again by the first week of March.

At 30% susceptibility, which peaks around January 15, cases could exceed 40,000, before flattening down in the first two weeks of February.

 

Tamil Nadu

According to projections, the state of Tamil Nadu might see cases nearly reach 100,000 in the first week of February (with 100 percent susceptibility), before flattening out by mid-March.

At 30% susceptibility, cases could exceed 20,000 in the latter week of January, before levelling down before March.

 

Uttarakhand

Uttar Pradesh is the fifth state on the list. At 100% susceptibility, the state is expected to surpass 80,000 daily cases by the end of January 2022, and the curve may flatten by March 2022.

At 30% susceptibility, daily incidences might exceed 20,000 by mid-January, before flattening off in mid-February.

 

Delhi

At 100% susceptibility, Delhi may scrape 70,000 daily cases at its height in mid-January.

After mid-February, the curve would flatten. The curve peaks at approximately 20,000 daily cases at 30% susceptibility then flattens off in the first week of February.

Additionally, read Omicron Variant: Three Diagrams Demonstrating Why It Might Be Worse Than Delta Covid Variant

 

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh is predicted to reach 50,000 daily cases (100 percent susceptibility) at its peak, which is expected to occur in early February and subside around mid-March.

With a 30% susceptibility rate, Andhra Pradesh might see roughly 15,000 daily cases at its height, before the curve flattens out around the end of February.

 

Chhattisgarh

Chhattisgarh is ranked eighth, with over 50,000 daily cases anticipated assuming 100% susceptibility, with the peak occurring in the first week of February and ending in the final week of March.

At 30% susceptibility, projections peak at approximately 16,000–17,000 daily cases in the latter weeks of January, before flattening off around mid-February.

 

Gujarat

Gujarat narrowly exceeded the 50,000 daily case threshold (at 100% susceptibility) in the final weeks of January, with the curve flattening off just before March.

At 30% susceptibility, a daily case count of 15,000 to 16,000 will peak in mid-January, before flattening down in the first week of February.

 

Rajasthan

Rajasthan, too, barely scraped 50,000 daily cases at its peak, which occurred around February 1 and flattened down by March.

At 30% susceptibility, the curve peaked around mid-January at 15,000 cases before flattening around mid-February.